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Vol.3 , No. 5, Publication Date: Oct. 11, 2016, Page: 131-139
| [1] | Vladimir Romanenko, Head of Scientific Council-North-Western Branch of Academy of Information Technologies in Education, Saint-Petrsburg, Russia. |
| [2] | Vyacheslav Fomenko, Retired, Freelance Consulting, Ashdod, Israel. |
| [3] | Galina Nikitina, General Scientific Secretary, Vice-Chairman – North-Western Branch of Academy of Information Technologies in Education, Saint-Petersburg, Russia. |
Each living body needs to forecast the changes in its environment and explain the observed phenomena. Unlike animals, people try to use the experience of previous generations in their forecasts. This experience is stored in science and religions. It is stored in memory of living systems. They are brains for individuals and special institutions for social systems. The input flows of different facts are put in order with the help of science. The new signals are compared with the facts stored in memory systems. The sets of actions which put in order the flows of input facts are Scientific methods. The results obtained with their help have various uncertainties or inaccuracies of input facts. There are four groups of these inaccuracies. They depend on the position of the human observer. The effect of predictions depends on people’s goals and is a serious problem in social systems. Different areas of human knowledge are studied from positions of possible uncertainties of Science predictions.
Keywords
Forecasts, Foreseeable Future, Observe Effects, Rashomon Effect, Reductionism, Reorders of Facts, Uncertainties
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