ISSN: 2375-3854
International Journal of Ecological Science and Environmental Engineering  
Manuscript Information
 
 
Moist Potential Vorticity as Diagnostic Tool of Rainfall Events in Tanzania
International Journal of Ecological Science and Environmental Engineering
Vol.4 , No. 5, Publication Date: Dec. 5, 2017, Page: 78-85
304 Views Since December 5, 2017, 201 Downloads Since Dec. 5, 2017
 
 
Authors
 
[1]    

Philbert Modest Luhunga, Research Section, Division of Research and Applied Meteorology, Tanzania Meteorological Agency, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

[2]    

Chuki Athumani Sangalugembe, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Section, Division of Forecasting Services, Tanzania Meteorological Agency, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

 
Abstract
 

This article, presents a first attempt to use Moist Potential Vorticity (MPV) in the diagnosis of rainfall events over different regions in Tanzania. The main purpose of the article is to compute and compare qualitatively the patterns of MPV derived from the gradient of the moist air entropy potential temperature (θs) and heavy rainfall events that occurred over different regions in Tanzania on 20th December, 2011. Moreover, the article aims at assessing the relative contributions of horizontal and vertical components of MPV on detecting the location received heavy rainfall events. Wind speed, temperature, atmospheric pressure and relative humidity from the numerical output generated by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model were used to compute θs and MPV. Results indicated that MPV at 700 hPa exhibit positive values, over/near the areas received heavy rainfall due to local instability associated with possible continent/ocean contrast and continent/Lakes contrast. When compared with the observed rainfall, MPV provides fairly accurate tracking of location received rainfall, suggesting its potential use as a dynamic tracer of heavy rainfall events in Tanzania. Finally, it is found that in contrast to the mid-latitude and extra tropical regions where the vertical component of the MPV is larger than horizontal parts, in Tanzania which is located close to the Equator the horizontal parts are larger than the vertical part in the upper troposphere and the vertical part is larger than the horizontal parts in the lower troposphere.


Keywords
 

Moist Potential Vorticity, Moist Air Entropic Potential Temperature, Rainfall Events


Reference
 
[01]    

Ertel, H. 1942: Ein Neuer hydrodynamischer Wirbelsatz. Met. Z., 59, 271-281

[02]    

Bjerknes, V. 1898a; Uber die Bildung von Circulationsbewegung und Wirbeln in reibungslosen Fliissigkeiten. Videnskabsselskapets Skrifter. I Math. Naturu. Klasse, No. 5

[03]    

Bjerknes, V. 1898b; Uber einen hydrodynamischen Fundamentalsatz und seine Anwendung besonders auf die Mechanik der Atmosphare und des Weltmeeres. Kgl. Suenska Vetenskapsakad. Handl., 31, No. 4

[04]    

Rossby, C.-G., 1936. Dynamics of steady ocean currents in the light of experimental fluid mechanics. Pap. Phys. Oceanogr. Meteorol. (Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution) 5 (1), 1–43.

[05]    

Rossby, C.-G., 1938. On the mutual adjustment of pressure and velocity distributions in certain simple current systems, II. Journal of Marine Research 2, 239–263.

[06]    

Rossby, C.-G., 1940. Planetary flow patterns in the atmosphere. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 66 (Suppl.), 68–87.

[07]    

Hoskins, B. J., McIntyre, M. E. and Robertson, A. W. (1985), On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticity maps. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 111: 877–946. doi: 10.1002/qj.49711147002

[08]    

McIntyre, M. E., 2015. Potential Vorticity In: Gerald R. North (editor-in-chief), John Pyle and Fuqing Zhang (editors). Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, 2nd edition, Vol 2, pp. 375–383. ISBN: 9780123822253, 2015 Elsevier Ltd. unless otherwise stated. All rights reserved. Academic Press

[09]    

Arbogast, P., Maynard, K., Crepin, F., 2008. Ertel potential vorticity inversion using a digital filter initialization method. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 134, 1287–1296.

[10]    

Haynes P. H., and M. E. McIntyre, 1987: On the evolution of vorticity and potential vorticity in the presence of diabatic heating and frictional or other forces. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 828-841.

[11]    

Kijazi and Reason, 2005, Relationships between intraseasonal rainfall variability of coastal Tanzania and ENSO, Theor. Appl. Climatol. 82, 153–176, DOI 10.1007/s00704-005-0129-0

[12]    

Kihupi N. I., Kingamkono R., Rwamugira W., Kingamkono M., Mhita M., and Brien K. O. (2002). Promotion and Integration of Indigenous Knowledge in Seasonal Climate Forecasts. Consultancy report submitted to Drought Monitoring Center (Harare, Zimbabwe). http://www.sadc.int/dmc/Research/PilotProjects/Promotion%20And%20Integration%20Of%20Indigenous%20Knowledge%20In%20Seasona.pdf

[13]    

Mahoo H, Mbungu W, Yonah I, Recha J, Radeny M, Kimeli P, Kinyangi J (2015). Integrating Indigenous Knowledge with Scientific Seasonal Forecasts for Climate Risk Management in Lushoto District in Tanzania. CCAFS Working Paper no. 103. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). Copenhagen, Denmark. Available online at: www.ccafs.cgiar.org

[14]    

Cao, Z., and H.-R. Cho, 1995: Generation of moist potential vorticity in extratropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 3263-3281.

[15]    

Linus A. Mofor, Chungu Lu, 2008: Generalized moist potential vorticity and its application in the analysis of atmospheric flows, Progress in Natural Science 19 (2009) 285–289, Available online at www.sciencedirect.com

[16]    

Bennetts DA, Hoskins BJ. 1979. Conditional symmetric instability. A possible explanation for frontal rainbands. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 105 (446): 945{962.

[17]    

Schubert HW, Hausman SA, Garcia M, et al. Potential vorticity in a moist atmosphere. J Atmos Sci 2001; 58: 3148–57.

[18]    

Gao, S. T., X. R. Wang, and Y. S. Zhou, 2004: Generation of generalised moist potential vorticity in a frictionless and moist adiabatic flow, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L12113, doi: 10.1029/2003GL019152.

[19]    

Zhaoming Liang, Chungu Lu, and Edward I. Tollerud, 2010: Diagnostic study of generalized moist potential vorticity in a non-uniformly saturated atmosphere with heavy precipitation

[20]    

Marquet P. 2014: On the definition of a moist-air potential vorticity. Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 140, (680): 917-929. (M14). http://arxiv.org/abs/1401.2006. arXiv: 1401.2006 [physics.ao-ph]

[21]    

Lo JC, Yang ZL, Pielke RA. 2008. Assessment of three dynamical climate downscaling methods using the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model. J. Geophys. Res. 113 (D9): DOI: 10.1029/2007JD009216

[22]    

Wang, W., D. Barker, C. Bruy`ere, M. Duda, J. Dudhia, D. Gill, J. Micha-lakes, and S. Rizvi, 2008: WRF Version 3 Modeling System User’s Guide. http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/docs/user guideV3

[23]    

Marquet P. 2011. Denition of a moist entropic potential temperature. Application to FIRE-I data ights. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137 (656): 768{791. (M11). http://arxiv.org/abs/1401.1097. arXiv: 1401.1097 [ao-ph]

[24]    

Marquet P. 2015: An improved approximation for the moist-air entropy potential temperature θs. http://arxiv.org/abs/1503.02287. arXiv: 1503.02287 [physics.ao-ph]

[25]    

Luhunga, P., Djolov, G. and Mutayoba, E. (2016) Moist Potential Vorticity Vector for Diagnosis of Heavy Rainfall Events in Tanzania. Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, 4, 128-145. doi: 10.4236/gep.2016.49010.





 
  Join Us
 
  Join as Reviewer
 
  Join Editorial Board
 
share:
 
 
Submission
 
 
Membership